According to André Dragosch (@Andre_Dragosch) citing data from the St. Louis Fed, the breakeven nonfarm payroll (NFP) growth rate stands at approximately +153,000 jobs per month. Any NFP report showing job growth below this threshold is likely to result in a higher unemployment rate (source: St. Louis Fed via Twitter, June 6, 2025). For crypto traders, a weaker-than-expected NFP print could increase recession fears and prompt risk-off moves in both traditional and digital asset markets. Historically, negative labor market surprises have led to higher volatility in cryptocurrencies as investors reassess risk exposure and Fed policy expectations.